why is ohio so important in elections

Political control of has oscillated between the two major parties. outnumber in Ohio government. The governor, is a Republican, as are all other non-judicial statewide elected officials:,
and. In the the Republicans have firm control (24-9), and in the the Republicans control the delegation (66-33). The is mostly Republican as well; twelve representatives are Republicans while four are Democrats. One, is a Republican, while the other, is a Democrat. Most of the of the ten largest cities in the state (, ) are Democrats. The Republicans are strongest in the rural Northwest, the affluent Cincinnati and Columbus suburbs, and have been making gains in Appalachian Southeast Ohio over the past decade.


The Democrats rely on the state's major cities as well as Northeast Ohio. Due to a close split in party registration and its historical electoral importance, Ohio was considered a key in the. The state was vital to President re-election chances, because he won there by nearly four points in 2000 and because no Republican has ever been elected President without winning Ohio (Coffey et al. 2011). In that election, Bush won the state with 51% of the vote, giving him its 20 electoral votes and the margin he needed in the for re-election. The state was fiercely contested in 2008 and 2012 as well, with President winning narrowly on both occasions. Since Republicans started winning elections, Ohio has voted with the winning candidate except for Grover Cleveland in both 1884 and 1892, Franklin D Roosevelt in 1944 and John F Kennedy in 1960.


In addition, Ohio's electoral vote total has been declining for decades. For the 2012 election it had 18, down from 21 in 2000 and down from a peak of 26 in 1968. Ohio now has its fewest electoral votes since 1828, when it cast 16. The state cast 3. 71 percent of all electoral votes in 2004, the smallest percentage since it cast 3. 40 percent of the votes in 1820. Ohio lost two electoral votes after the results of the, leaving it with 18 electoral votes for the presidential elections in 2012, 2016 and 2020.


Ohio's large population has long made the state a major influence in politics. Seven presidents have hailed from Ohio, all Republicans:, and. Since 1964 the state has been a perfect Bellwether in predicting the outcome of presidential elections. The General Assembly, with the approval of the governor, draws the U. S. congressional district lines for Ohio's 16 seats in the. The draws state legislative district lines. JONATHAN MARTIN, THE NEW YORK TIMES: ItБs different because of two big factors. Number one is the sort of changing nature of the Democratic Party. It is now built on a coalition that includes less working class white voters and more whatБs been called a coalition of the ascendant Б younger voters, non-white voters, female voters and itБs more Б itБs more affluent now.


And Ohio is a traditional Rust Belt state. And thatБs the other piece of it. The demographics of Ohio are more forbidding for Democrats given their current nature today. So, if youБre Hillary Clinton, youБre going to compete in Ohio Б sheБs not going to pull out of there. In fact, sheБs going back next week. But itБs not essential. So, itБs just not the sort of quintessential battleground state it has been in years passed because the bottom line is she doesnБt need it to get the necessary 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.

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